Hansa-cycle
When we see at monthly
candle chart of Silver from 2003. In this up cycle, month of December is
decisive. When December month’s candle closes in green, next 4-5 months
uptrend remains continue. If December closes with a red candle, means a
consolidation for seven to eight months and than uptrend starts from
September and continues till march- April of next year.
In years 2004 – 2006 –
2009 – 2011, December months closed with a red candle. One thing is common in
all these red December candles. These all took 23% - 25% correction from
December months’ high.
(i)
$8.16 to $6.30
in year 2004
(ii)
$14.19 to
$11.00 in year 2006
(iii)
$19.44 to
$14.63 in year 2009
(iv)
$33.67 to
$26.12 in year 2011
December 2012 was also
closed with a red candle and made a high of $33.85. Hence, taking a 23%
retracement ie. $26.07 is due, somewhere in second week of February. If,
however, $26.07 doesn’t come in February, then $27.57 will be the resistance
and then March, 2013 will touch $33.37 as a high. A down-trend will start
again from this point, which will continue till $26.07, most probably in July
or August, 2013 , a safest point to add longs with a strict stop-loss of
$25.90.
Since 1995 there are no
two consecutive red December candles. December 2011 and 2012 both closed in Red. This long
consolidation is a sign of explosion. In my opinion, last week of May, 2014
silver will be at its peak , which will be around $150.
ABOUT BUSINESS STRATEGY :
$26.05, $27.57, $33.37,
$37.50, $41.30, $44.17 and $49.82 . These all are important
support-resistance levels. One should buy on support and sell on break of it
and vice-versa.
For example, Short at
$33.30 with a strict stop-loss at $33.50.
Long
at $33.45 with a stop-loss of $33.30 (three day continuous daily close below
$33.37)
Buy
at $27.57 with a strict stop-loss of $27.48.
Short
@27.50 putting a stop-loss of $27.57 (three day continuous daily close above
$27.57) and so on.
Author: Silver Future
Silver Future
http://silverfuture.in
Hansraj
Babel, a practitioner financial astrologer, has been doing research on silver
price movement for over 20 years. His sole approach to analysis is derived
from market cycle pattern, found in the form of Price, and Time, and it is
generated from the best source possible, the market itself.
Copyright © 2013 Silver Future
|
We provide Trading calls based on a fine combination of Technical analysis and Financial Astrology.
Tuesday, February 5, 2013
$150 Silver Explosion
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)